‘Going to 1000’: Grim warning as Vic has 733 new cases

OSTN Staff

One new death was also announced by the health department on Friday, which takes the death toll of the outbreak to 21.The number of Victorians who have now lost their lives to Covid-19 stands at 841.Experts have warned that infections will continue to surge and Victoria will soon join NSW in recording daily increased above 1000.University of Sydney Professor Robert Booy said it was worrying and he fears Victorian cases are heading out of control.“It’s a worry, it’s not in control and it’s a real lesson to everyone else,” he told The Today Show on Friday.“I can see this going to 1000 just as NSW did — peaking at a largish number and falling again.“The go hard, go early approach hasn’t worked because Delta is such a foe.”Victoria’s chief health officer Brett Sutton has also warned infections haven’t peaked and will continue to rise.“We haven’t peaked unfortunately,” Professor Sutton said last week.“The risk of it getting to 1000 is real.“The modelling and everything we know in relation to our current vaccination coverage would suggest that cases will continue to increase – vaccination alone won’t mean that there’s a peak at the 400s.”The health department confirmed the 733 new locally acquired cases about 9am, which comes after the highest daily spike Victoria has seen since the start of the pandemic with 766 new infections announced on Thursday.The virus continues to spread rapidly through Melbourne’s northern and western suburbs with 83 per cent of new cases originating from those areas.About 84 per cent of all active cases in Victoria are people under 50 years of age, while almost a quarter of cases are people in their 20s.No new cases were recorded in hotel quarantine on Friday. More than 23,200 primary close contacts remain in isolation in Victoria.There are now 7160 active cases in the state.NED-3869-Covid-19-Exposure-Sites-VictoriaNED-4588-VIC-road map-out-of-lockdownQLD PREMIER CASTS DOUBT ON BORDER REOPENINGQueensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk has cast doubt on opening the state’s borders, saying lifting border restrictions ever after vaccine coverage reaches 80 per cent would be a “backward” step.Ms Palaszczuk did not say what Covid-19 vaccination threshold would need to be met to safely reopen to NSW and Victoria, adding a national reopening plan had “not been finalised”, The Australian reports.“If you look at the national plan, the 80 per cent actually takes you backwards and I do not want that for Queensland, so we’re probably going to see a difference for Western Australia and Queensland because at the moment we have freedoms,” Ms Palaszczuk said on Thursday.When asked about lifting health restrictions, she said she would need to see additional health modelling.“At the moment, Queenslanders have more freedoms now than Victorians will when they reach 80 per cent vaccinated,” she said. “In NSW, you have a massive Delta outbreak, so you have to go and ask the NSW government what is their plan for Christmas?”State and territory leaders in July agreed on a pathway to freedom, where fully-vaccinated Australians would be exempt from “all domestic restrictions” once 80 per cent of the population older than 16 was vaccinated.But Ms Palaszczuk said Queenslanders would enjoy more freedoms at home than if they travelled overseas.“Where are you going to go? Are you going to go to India? In Tokyo, you have to sit in perspex screens with masks on and if you remove your mask you can’t talk while you’re eating,” she said.National – 2021 – Covid Vaccination StatsBLOOD CLOTS LINKED TO ASTRAZENECA RISE TO 141 A further seven blood clots have been linked to the AstraZeneca jab – all in NSW.Two cases have been confirmed in 34 and 79-year-old men from NSW. Five cases in 54, 66, 71, 74 and 77-year-old men from NSW are being treated as probable.This take the total Australian reports assessed as blood clots or thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome (TTS) following AstraZeneca to 141 cases (77 confirmed, 64 probable) from nearly 11.3 million vaccine doses.Eight people have died as a result of TTS – six of these were women. The figures were released in the Therapeutic Goods Administration Covid-19 vaccine weekly safety report on Thursday afternoon.The TGA reports most blood clots occurred about two weeks after vaccination. The risk of TTS after a second dose appears to be much lower than after the first dose.The TGA also reports that to 19 September, it has received 118 reports of suspected Guillain-Barre Syndrome (GBS) occurring after the AstraZeneca jab. GBS is a rare immune disorder affecting the nerves and can result in pain, numbness, muscle weakness and difficulty walking.In the same period, the TGA has received 77 reports of suspected ITP following vaccination, a type of thrombocytopenia or low platelet count. NED-3736-Vaccine-benefit-vs-harmThe TGA has also received eight reports of suspected myocarditis in adolescents aged 15-17 years to 19 September – seven boys and one girl – after the mRNA vaccines Pfizer and Moderna. Four of the cases occurred after the second dose. “None of these cases had sufficient clinical evidence to be classified as highly likely to be myocarditis (level 1). There were an additional 12 reports of suspected pericarditis not combined with myocarditis in this age group of which five were clinically consistent with pericarditis,” the report says.The TGA advises people should seek immediate medical attention if they develop any of the following symptoms after vaccination:– severe or persistent headache, blurred vision, confusion or seizures– shortness of breath, chest pain, leg swelling or persistent abdominal pain– unusual skin bruising and/or pinpoint round spots beyond the site of vaccination.The most common time period for onset of TTS symptoms is four to 30 days after vaccination.SIX MORE DEATHS, 1063 CASES IN NSWNSW has recorded another 1063 cases and six deaths on Thursday as the Delta outbreak continues to spread. One new case was acquired overseas, and one new case was acquired interstate, bringing the total number of cases in NSW since the beginning of the pandemic to 55,773.The deceased were four women and two men. Three people were from western Sydney, two people were from south western Sydney and one person was from Dubbo.Of those who died, four people were not vaccinated. One person – a woman in her 90s – had received one dose of a Covid-19 vaccine, and one person – a woman in her 50s with significant underlying health conditions – had received two doses. A woman in her 90s from Dubbo died at St Mary’s Villa Aged Care Facility in Dubbo where she acquired her infection. This is the fourth death linked to an outbreak at this facility. NSW Health administered 35,121 vaccines in the 24 hours to 8pm last night, including 5704 at the vaccination centre at Sydney Olympic Park.Of the 1063 locally acquired cases reported to 8pm last night, 294 are from South Western Sydney Local Health District (LHD), 220 are from Western Sydney LHD, 139 are from Sydney LHD, 119 are from South Eastern Sydney LHD, 65 are from Illawarra Shoalhaven LHD, 64 are from Nepean Blue Mountains LHD, 43 are from Northern Sydney LHD, 41 are from Hunter New England LHD, 32 are from Central Coast LHD, 11 are from western NSW LHD, seven are from Far West LHD, two are from Murrumbidgee LHD, two are from southern NSW LHD, one is from northern NSW, one is from Mid North Coast LHD, nine are in correctional settings and 13 cases are yet to be assigned to an LHD. NSW Covid Exposure SitesNSW Health’s ongoing sewage surveillance program has detected fragments of the virus that causes Covid-19 in sewage samples from Grafton in northern NSW. The NSW government has also begun briefing industry groups that Oct­ober 11 will mark the state’s new “freedom day”.The date is set to signal the official reopening of businesses, with the community expected to achieve 70 per cent vaccination coverage two weeks earlier than originally anticipated, The Australian reports. But officials have conceded NSW’s vaccine validation technology is unlikely to be operational in time for the revised reopening date, raising concerns among some of confrontations with patrons and extra costs associated with front-of-house duties.

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